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What this means. A wallet put $20.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 92% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$20.3k
BUY No @ 92.3¢ · 21,952 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet twe2nty took No (buy) for $20.3k at an average 92.3¢. At that price the market implied a 92% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.3k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 92¢ means
92%chance the market gave
−1199American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 92.3¢
- Implied odds
- 92.3%
- Size
- $20.3k
- Placed
- Feb 27, 08:52 EST
- Market close
- Jan 30, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- twe2nty
- Tx
- 0x5cdc371c…
This wallet's graded record
6/9+6.4 pts
expected 5.4 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢ | $24.7k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢ | $13.6k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 98¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 98.5¢ | $25.6k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢ | $13.8k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99¢ | $34.9k | excluded |