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0xa82a…d878

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$446.4k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$19.2k
Last 30 days +$0 · $826.5k volume · 270 trades · since Jan 30, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$19.2k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
92%
12 closed
Wallet age · markets
267d
12 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?MED BUY No @ 94.8¢ $55.8k
2.3× usual
95% 238d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99¢ $14.8k1% 241d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 98.5¢ $38.9k2% 242d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 98.7¢ $15.3k1% 243d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 98.2¢ $12.6k2% 244d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 95¢ $30.2k95% 244d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 92¢ $13.8k92% 244d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?LOW SELL No @ 97¢ $52.4k
2.2× usual
3% 244d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 96¢ $14.5k96% 245d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 98.1¢ $21.7k98% 245d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $51.6k
2.2× usual
0% 245d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 97.5¢ $50.3k
2.1× usual
97% 246d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?LOW BUY No @ 94¢ $11.9k94% 257d agomissed
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?LOW BUY No @ 94¢ $38.9k94% 257d agomissed
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?LOW BUY Yes @ 99¢ $23.8k99% 266d agoexcluded

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xa82a89…