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What this means. A wallet put $13.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 92% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.8k
BUY No @ 92¢ · 15,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet 0xa82a…d878 took No (buy) for $13.8k at an average 92¢. At that price the market implied a 92% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 92¢ means
92%chance the market gave
−1150American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 92¢
- Implied odds
- 92.0%
- Size
- $13.8k
- Placed
- Feb 22, 07:01 EST
- Market close
- Jan 30, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0xa82a…d878
- Tx
- 0xcbd07291…
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.2k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $31.8k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $104.1k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $42.1k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $169.8k 4.2× usual |
excluded |