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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$41.1k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$18.0k
Last 30 days +$2,724 · $1.04M volume · 1,076 trades · since Sep 20, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$16.9k
Open P&L · 7 positions
−$1,081
Closed-position win rate
63%
51 closed
Wallet age · markets
400d
53 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March? | LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $23.3k | excluded |
 US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 93.1¢ | $17.9k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x83297e…