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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.3 wins, so it did +71.9 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+71.9 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.3
Flagged volume
$33.9k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±44.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$4,141
Last 30 days +$0 · $4.79M volume · 12,367 trades · since Jan 10, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$66.5k
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$76
Closed-position win rate
92%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
287d
— markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.3 | +71.9 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | LOW SELL No @ 72¢ | $12.8k | called |
 US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 97.1¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 97.1¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xf9009e…