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+$25Yes · avg 70¢ → 71¢ · $7,075−$856No · avg 81¢ → 71¢ · $5,851−$33No · avg 99¢ → 97.5¢ · $2,219+$300Yes · avg 22¢ → 27¢ · $1,626 · 0 proven with, 1 against+$153No · avg 23¢ → 26¢ · $1,054+$30No · avg 89¢ → 93¢ · $686+$2No · avg 95.5¢ → 96.1¢ · $363+$3No · avg 78¢ → 84¢ · $42
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.9 wins, so it did +5.5 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+5.5 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.9
Flagged volume
$337.6k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±16.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$424
Last 30 days +$3,401 · $8.38M volume · 9,291 trades · since Feb 08, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$169.2k
Open P&L · 13 positions
+$64
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
623d
1040 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 2 | 2 | 1.9 | +5.5 pts |
History
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