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What this means. A wallet put $13.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.8k
BUY No @ 98.5¢ · 13,971 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet wubddh took No (buy) for $13.8k at an average 98.5¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.8k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−6567American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98.5¢
- Implied odds
- 98.5%
- Size
- $13.8k
- Placed
- Jan 25, 13:02 EST
- Market close
- Jan 28, 03:11 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- wubddh
- Tx
- 0x01e2ee7c…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+5.5 pts
expected 1.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +2 ptsNo price · entry 98.5¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $32.4k | excluded |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)? | LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)? | LOW BUY No @ 96.8¢ | $15.0k | called |