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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$227.3k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$115.2k
Last 30 days +$0 · $633.4k volume · 16 trades · since Feb 23, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$7,826
Open P&L · 4 positions
−$107.4k
Closed-position win rate
60%
5 closed
Wallet age · markets
243d
9 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | MED SELL No @ 94¢ | $30.6k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | MED SELL No @ 97¢ | $31.3k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 90.9¢ | $35.5k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢ | $35.5k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 97.1¢ | $34.7k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 92.2¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 92¢ | $29.7k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x58dc53…