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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$164.1k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$42.5k
Last 30 days −$0 · $843.1k volume · 649 trades · since Nov 23, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$21.4k
Open P&L · 3 positions
−$15.8k
Closed-position win rate
61%
79 closed
Wallet age · markets
335d
80 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 58¢ | $12.6k | missed |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 28¢ | $11.7k | called |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 91.4¢ | $12.4k | called |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | MED SELL No @ 82¢ | $32.6k 2.5× usual |
called |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 94.9¢ | $11.6k | missed |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 97.6¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 91¢ | $20.2k | missed |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $22.4k | excluded |
 US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 94.4¢ | $15.5k | excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 98.5¢ | $13.5k | excluded |
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