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What this means. A wallet put $32.6k on not No, at a price that gave it a 18% chance. It won. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$32.6k
SELL No @ 82¢ · 39,616 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)2.5× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet kirik988 took No (sell) for $32.6k at an average 82¢. At that price the market implied a 18% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $32.6k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 82¢
- Implied odds
- 17.6%
- Size
- $32.6k
- Placed
- Apr 10, 05:59 EDT
- Market close
- May 08, 16:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- kirik988
- Tx
- 0x9a0f5df3…
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $138.2k 4.8× usual |
excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $106.5k | excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.4k | excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $35.2k | excluded |