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What this means. A wallet put $11.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 95% chance. It lost. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.6k
BUY No @ 94.9¢ · 12,213 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet kirik988 took No (buy) for $11.6k at an average 94.9¢. At that price the market implied a 95% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 95¢ means
95%chance the market gave
−1865American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 94.9¢
- Implied odds
- 94.9%
- Size
- $11.6k
- Placed
- Apr 08, 14:14 EDT
- Market close
- May 08, 16:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- kirik988
- Tx
- 0xbc06bc33…
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | MED BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $519.1k 18.1× usual |
excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $199.8k 5.6× usual |
excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $26.9k | excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | MED BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $2.09M 45.5× usual |
excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | MED BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $492.9k 5.9× usual |
excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $140.7k 8.3× usual |
excluded |