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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$115.2k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$16.7k
Last 30 days −$0 · $2.63M volume · 7,031 trades · since Jun 10, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$15.8k
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$10
Closed-position win rate
53%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
501d
437 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $26.9k | excluded |
 US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.2¢ | $14.2k | excluded |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.6¢ | $16.1k | excluded |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.3¢ | $16.9k | excluded |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | LOW BUY No @ 97.8¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xecef29…