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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$31.6k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$11.2k
Last 30 days +$0 · $814.9k volume · 1,268 trades · since Aug 20, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 475 closed
−$11.0k
Open P&L · 23 positions
−$174
Closed-position win rate
64%
475 closed
Wallet age · markets
795d
471 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 98.3¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xf8fcd4…