← Wallets
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.9 wins, so it did +4.5 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+4.5 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.9
Flagged volume
$180.8k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±14.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$1,806
Last 30 days +$0 · $2.36M volume · 2,179 trades · since Jan 11, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$1,538
Open P&L · 7 positions
−$2,899
Closed-position win rate
73%
227 closed
Wallet age · markets
286d
218 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 2 | 2 | 1.9 | +4.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Netanyahu out by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 96.5¢ | $25.1k | called |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 94.5¢ | $17.0k | called |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 97.5¢ | $14.9k | excluded |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 95¢ | $26.5k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 97.8¢ | $23.3k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ | $16.8k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 96.4¢ | $24.9k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 97.7¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ | $21.8k | excluded |
Share this record
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x0e6ff34733140ef7a7ec00697782528cd666dfb9"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x0e6ff34733140ef7a7ec00697782528cd666dfb9.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x0e6ff3…