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Casdifer

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 5. The prices it paid implied about 2.8 wins, so it did +4.4 pts better than the market expected. That's only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Without its single best bet: -3.2 pts. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+4.4 pts
Called / graded
3/5
Expected from price
2.8
Flagged volume
$1.97M
Sample size5 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±21.1 pts std. error.

Graded P&L at their stakes

−$7k
5 graded bets in the order they resolved · 3 won. Each step is one bet: win pays (1−price)/price × stake, loss costs the stake.
−$7k$0$18k
Past graded bets, not a prediction. Information, not advice.
Without their best bet
Leave out the single bet that helped most (Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? at 65¢) and the edge is -3.2 pts. If that falls apart, one bet made the record.
Calibration: won vs price paid
20–40¢
0% vs 31% · n=1
40–60¢
0% vs 43% · n=1
60–80¢
100% vs 68% · n=3
Bar = how often they won. White tick = what the price implied.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$51.7k
Last 30 days −$0 · $29.09M volume · 27,303 trades · since Jan 03, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
−$15.8k
Open P&L · 4 positions
−$19.8k
Closed-position win rate
54%
309 closed
Wallet age · markets
294d
209 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Other200.7-36.9 pts
Politics332.0+32.0 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.7¢ $12.5k0% 185d agoexcluded
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?LOW BUY Yes @ 71¢ $16.7k71% 195d agocalled
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?LOW SELL Yes @ 68¢ $15.0k32% 196d agomissed
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?LOW SELL Yes @ 70¢ $10.5k30% 197d agomissed
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?LOW BUY Yes @ 65¢ $54.5k
3.5× usual
65% 197d agocalled
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?LOW SELL No @ 32¢ $11.7k68% 197d agocalled
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?LOW BUY No @ 70¢ $13.2k70% 199d agoexcluded
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?LOW BUY Yes @ 59¢ $19.2k59% 199d agocalled
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?MED BUY No @ 74¢ $27.8k74% 199d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?LOW SELL No @ 73¢ $13.8k27% 199d agocalled
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?LOW BUY No @ 94.8¢ $11.3k95% 199d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?LOW SELL No @ 86¢ $17.7k14% 200d agocalled
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?LOW BUY No @ 88¢ $10.5k88% 201d agomissed
US forces enter Iran by April 30?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $21.7k0% 201d agoexcluded
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?LOW SELL No @ 69¢ $13.6k31% 201d agomissed
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?LOW BUY No @ 91¢ $10.7k91% 202d agocalled
US forces enter Iran by April 30?LOW BUY Yes @ 81¢ $16.2k81% 202d agocalled
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?LOW BUY No @ 94¢ $15.7k94% 203d agomissed
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?LOW SELL No @ 57¢ $11.1k43% 204d agomissed
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?LOW BUY No @ 65¢ $10.6k65% 205d agocalled
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?LOW BUY Yes @ 19¢ $22.6k19% 206d agocalled
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?LOW SELL No @ 67¢ $13.4k33% 212d agocalled
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?LOW SELL No @ 54¢ $10.9k46% 213d agomissed
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?LOW SELL No @ 58¢ $13.8k42% 214d agocalled
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?LOW BUY No @ 73¢ $22.4k73% 215d agomissed
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?LOW BUY No @ 75¢ $10.7k75% 216d agomissed
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?LOW SELL Yes @ 99¢ $10.3k1% 237d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?LOW BUY Yes @ 97.5¢ $25.6k98% 237d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?LOW SELL Yes @ 97.6¢ $12.3k2% 237d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?LOW BUY Yes @ 97.5¢ $30.8k98% 237d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?MED SELL Yes @ 57¢ $26.4k43% 239d agomissed
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ $13.0k60% 239d agocalled
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 40¢ $11.4k60% 239d agocalled
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?MED SELL No @ 45¢ $54.8k
3.5× usual
55% 239d agocalled
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 94.9¢ $24.6k5% 240d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 98.2¢ $18.2k2% 240d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 39¢ $14.6k61% 241d agocalled
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 17¢ $15.1k17% 241d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 93¢ $11.9k93% 241d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 96¢ $18.8k4% 241d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?MED SELL No @ 95¢ $27.3k5% 241d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 84¢ $16.8k16% 241d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 95.6¢ $12.7k96% 242d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 82¢ $22.6k18% 242d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 42¢ $19.0k58% 242d agocalled
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 81¢ $22.0k19% 243d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 86¢ $10.2k14% 243d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 96.1¢ $18.7k4% 243d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 96.1¢ $18.9k96% 244d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 98.4¢ $11.9k2% 245d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 74¢ $17.1k26% 246d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?MED SELL No @ 76¢ $28.7k24% 246d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 78¢ $66.8k
4.3× usual
78% 246d agoexcluded
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?MED SELL No @ 77¢ $32.7k
2.1× usual
23% 247d agocalled
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?MED SELL No @ 92.9¢ $25.7k7% 247d agocalled
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?LOW BUY No @ 95.6¢ $27.5k96% 247d agomissed
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 77¢ $10.1k23% 247d agoexcluded
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 74¢ $12.2k74% 247d agomissed
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 77¢ $32.0k
2.0× usual
77% 247d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 66¢ $15.0k66% 247d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 64¢ $18.3k36% 247d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 63¢ $11.0k63% 247d agocalled
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 83¢ $15.5k83% 247d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 82¢ $12.8k18% 248d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?MED SELL No @ 85¢ $39.7k
2.5× usual
15% 248d agoexcluded
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 84¢ $28.7k84% 248d agomissed
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 85¢ $12.4k15% 248d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 37¢ $11.5k37% 249d agocalled
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 91¢ $37.7k
2.4× usual
91% 254d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?MED SELL No @ 90¢ $31.2k10% 254d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 61¢ $11.7k39% 254d agocalled
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 90¢ $14.7k90% 254d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 97.9¢ $25.4k2% 254d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 96.7¢ $15.6k3% 255d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.2¢ $13.7k1% 255d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.1¢ $11.9k1% 255d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 83¢ $16.1k83% 256d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 94.3¢ $12.2k6% 256d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 91¢ $11.7k91% 256d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 98.1¢ $52.5k
3.4× usual
2% 256d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?MED SELL No @ 96.1¢ $27.4k4% 256d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 89¢ $10.7k89% 256d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?MED SELL No @ 96.9¢ $39.2k
2.5× usual
3% 257d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?MED BUY No @ 92.4¢ $28.7k92% 259d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 61¢ $24.0k39% 260d agocalled
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 84¢ $17.0k84% 260d agomissed
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 89¢ $15.6k89% 260d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 61¢ $15.7k39% 261d agocalled
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?MED SELL No @ 73¢ $29.2k27% 261d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 62¢ $16.1k62% 261d agomissed
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 90¢ $10.5k10% 261d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 89¢ $10.9k11% 267d agomissed
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 44¢ $26.7k44% 270d agomissed
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 88¢ $12.9k12% 270d agomissed
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 52¢ $15.6k52% 271d agomissed
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 50¢ $12.1k50% 272d agomissed
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 97.5¢ $17.7k2% 272d agoexcluded
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 85¢ $13.9k85% 275d agocalled
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 87¢ $16.0k87% 280d agocalled
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 85¢ $14.1k85% 290d agocalled
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 94.1¢ $19.8k6% 291d agomissed
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 86¢ $11.9k86% 293d agocalled
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.7¢$12.5k
LOW Casdifer · 185d ago
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?called
BUY Yes @ 71¢$16.7k
LOW Casdifer · 195d ago
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?missed
SELL Yes @ 68¢$15.0k
LOW Casdifer · 196d ago
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?missed
SELL Yes @ 70¢$10.5k
LOW Casdifer · 197d ago
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?called
BUY Yes @ 65¢$54.5k
LOW Casdifer · 197d ago
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?called
SELL No @ 32¢$11.7k
LOW Casdifer · 197d ago
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?excluded
BUY No @ 70¢$13.2k
LOW Casdifer · 199d ago
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?called
BUY Yes @ 59¢$19.2k
LOW Casdifer · 199d ago
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?excluded
BUY No @ 74¢$27.8k
MED Casdifer · 199d ago
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?called
SELL No @ 73¢$13.8k
LOW Casdifer · 199d ago
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?excluded
BUY No @ 94.8¢$11.3k
LOW Casdifer · 199d ago
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?called
SELL No @ 86¢$17.7k
LOW Casdifer · 200d ago
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?missed
BUY No @ 88¢$10.5k
LOW Casdifer · 201d ago
US forces enter Iran by April 30?excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.8¢$21.7k
LOW Casdifer · 201d ago
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?missed
SELL No @ 69¢$13.6k
LOW Casdifer · 201d ago
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?called
BUY No @ 91¢$10.7k
LOW Casdifer · 202d ago
US forces enter Iran by April 30?called
BUY Yes @ 81¢$16.2k
LOW Casdifer · 202d ago
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?missed
BUY No @ 94¢$15.7k
LOW Casdifer · 203d ago
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?missed
SELL No @ 57¢$11.1k
LOW Casdifer · 204d ago
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?called
BUY No @ 65¢$10.6k
LOW Casdifer · 205d ago
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?called
BUY Yes @ 19¢$22.6k
LOW Casdifer · 206d ago
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?called
SELL No @ 67¢$13.4k
LOW Casdifer · 212d ago
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?missed
SELL No @ 54¢$10.9k
LOW Casdifer · 213d ago
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?called
SELL No @ 58¢$13.8k
LOW Casdifer · 214d ago
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?missed
BUY No @ 73¢$22.4k
LOW Casdifer · 215d ago
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?missed
BUY No @ 75¢$10.7k
LOW Casdifer · 216d ago
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?excluded
SELL Yes @ 99¢$10.3k
LOW Casdifer · 237d ago
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?excluded
BUY Yes @ 97.5¢$25.6k
LOW Casdifer · 237d ago
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?excluded
SELL Yes @ 97.6¢$12.3k
LOW Casdifer · 237d ago
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?excluded
BUY Yes @ 97.5¢$30.8k
LOW Casdifer · 237d ago
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?missed
SELL Yes @ 57¢$26.4k
MED Casdifer · 239d ago
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?called
BUY Yes @ 60¢$13.0k
LOW Casdifer · 239d ago
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?called
SELL No @ 40¢$11.4k
LOW Casdifer · 239d ago
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?called
SELL No @ 45¢$54.8k
MED Casdifer · 239d ago
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?excluded
SELL No @ 94.9¢$24.6k
LOW Casdifer · 240d ago
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?excluded
SELL No @ 98.2¢$18.2k
LOW Casdifer · 240d ago
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?called
SELL No @ 39¢$14.6k
LOW Casdifer · 241d ago
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?excluded
BUY Yes @ 17¢$15.1k
LOW Casdifer · 241d ago
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 93¢$11.9k
LOW Casdifer · 241d ago
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?excluded
SELL No @ 96¢$18.8k
LOW Casdifer · 241d ago
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?excluded
SELL No @ 95¢$27.3k
MED Casdifer · 241d ago
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?excluded
SELL No @ 84¢$16.8k
LOW Casdifer · 241d ago
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 95.6¢$12.7k
LOW Casdifer · 242d ago
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?excluded
SELL No @ 82¢$22.6k
LOW Casdifer · 242d ago
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?called
SELL No @ 42¢$19.0k
LOW Casdifer · 242d ago
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?excluded
SELL No @ 81¢$22.0k
LOW Casdifer · 243d ago
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?excluded
SELL No @ 86¢$10.2k
LOW Casdifer · 243d ago
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?excluded
SELL No @ 96.1¢$18.7k
LOW Casdifer · 243d ago
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 96.1¢$18.9k
LOW Casdifer · 244d ago
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?excluded
SELL No @ 98.4¢$11.9k
LOW Casdifer · 245d ago
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?excluded
SELL No @ 74¢$17.1k
LOW Casdifer · 246d ago
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?excluded
SELL No @ 76¢$28.7k
MED Casdifer · 246d ago
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 78¢$66.8k
LOW Casdifer · 246d ago
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?called
SELL No @ 77¢$32.7k
MED Casdifer · 247d ago
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?called
SELL No @ 92.9¢$25.7k
MED Casdifer · 247d ago
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?missed
BUY No @ 95.6¢$27.5k
LOW Casdifer · 247d ago
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?excluded
SELL No @ 77¢$10.1k
LOW Casdifer · 247d ago
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?missed
BUY No @ 74¢$12.2k
LOW Casdifer · 247d ago
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 77¢$32.0k
LOW Casdifer · 247d ago
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 66¢$15.0k
LOW Casdifer · 247d ago
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?excluded
SELL No @ 64¢$18.3k
LOW Casdifer · 247d ago
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?called
BUY Yes @ 63¢$11.0k
LOW Casdifer · 247d ago
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 83¢$15.5k
LOW Casdifer · 247d ago
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?excluded
SELL No @ 82¢$12.8k
LOW Casdifer · 248d ago
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?excluded
SELL No @ 85¢$39.7k
MED Casdifer · 248d ago
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?missed
BUY No @ 84¢$28.7k
LOW Casdifer · 248d ago
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?excluded
SELL No @ 85¢$12.4k
LOW Casdifer · 248d ago
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?called
BUY Yes @ 37¢$11.5k
LOW Casdifer · 249d ago
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 91¢$37.7k
LOW Casdifer · 254d ago
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?excluded
SELL No @ 90¢$31.2k
MED Casdifer · 254d ago
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?called
SELL No @ 61¢$11.7k
LOW Casdifer · 254d ago
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 90¢$14.7k
LOW Casdifer · 254d ago
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?excluded
SELL No @ 97.9¢$25.4k
LOW Casdifer · 254d ago
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?excluded
SELL No @ 96.7¢$15.6k
LOW Casdifer · 255d ago
US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?excluded
SELL No @ 99.2¢$13.7k
LOW Casdifer · 255d ago
US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?excluded
SELL No @ 99.1¢$11.9k
LOW Casdifer · 255d ago
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 83¢$16.1k
LOW Casdifer · 256d ago
US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?excluded
SELL No @ 94.3¢$12.2k
LOW Casdifer · 256d ago
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 91¢$11.7k
LOW Casdifer · 256d ago
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?excluded
SELL No @ 98.1¢$52.5k
LOW Casdifer · 256d ago
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?excluded
SELL No @ 96.1¢$27.4k
MED Casdifer · 256d ago
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 89¢$10.7k
LOW Casdifer · 256d ago
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?excluded
SELL No @ 96.9¢$39.2k
MED Casdifer · 257d ago
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 92.4¢$28.7k
MED Casdifer · 259d ago
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?called
SELL No @ 61¢$24.0k
LOW Casdifer · 260d ago
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?missed
BUY No @ 84¢$17.0k
LOW Casdifer · 260d ago
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 89¢$15.6k
LOW Casdifer · 260d ago
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?called
SELL No @ 61¢$15.7k
LOW Casdifer · 261d ago
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?excluded
SELL No @ 73¢$29.2k
MED Casdifer · 261d ago
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?missed
BUY No @ 62¢$16.1k
LOW Casdifer · 261d ago
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?excluded
SELL No @ 90¢$10.5k
LOW Casdifer · 261d ago
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?missed
SELL No @ 89¢$10.9k
LOW Casdifer · 267d ago
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?missed
BUY No @ 44¢$26.7k
LOW Casdifer · 270d ago
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?missed
SELL No @ 88¢$12.9k
LOW Casdifer · 270d ago
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?missed
BUY No @ 52¢$15.6k
LOW Casdifer · 271d ago
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?missed
BUY No @ 50¢$12.1k
LOW Casdifer · 272d ago
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?excluded
SELL No @ 97.5¢$17.7k
LOW Casdifer · 272d ago
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?called
BUY No @ 85¢$13.9k
LOW Casdifer · 275d ago
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?called
BUY No @ 87¢$16.0k
LOW Casdifer · 280d ago
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?called
BUY No @ 85¢$14.1k
LOW Casdifer · 290d ago
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?missed
SELL No @ 94.1¢$19.8k
LOW Casdifer · 291d ago
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?called
BUY No @ 86¢$11.9k
LOW Casdifer · 293d ago

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