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+$13No · avg 85¢ → 95.8¢ · $113+$5No · avg 74¢ → 79¢ · $79
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$72.5k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$26.5k
Last 30 days +$5 · $821.0k volume · 990 trades · since Jan 14, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$1,597
Open P&L · 13 positions
−$24.9k
Closed-position win rate
69%
67 closed
Wallet age · markets
283d
78 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | LOW BUY No @ 94.6¢ | $15.8k | excluded |
 US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 92.3¢ | $14.6k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ | $14.3k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 97.8¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $13.8k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x05f5a7…