whataplaya

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$1.15M

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$106.9k

Last 30 days +$0 · $3.29M volume · 1,863 trades · since Feb 08, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢	$19.9k	99%	239d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢	$77.2k 3.9× usual	99%	239d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	LOW SELL No @ 95.8¢	$23.9k	4%	239d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢	$24.7k	99%	239d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢	$14.8k	99%	240d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 97¢	$19.9k	97%	241d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 94¢	$31.7k	94%	241d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 93¢	$23.5k	93%	241d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢	$16.3k	98%	242d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 97¢	$18.0k	97%	242d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 94¢	$18.8k	94%	242d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 96¢	$38.4k	96%	242d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 97.9¢	$11.4k	98%	242d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 95¢	$47.5k 2.4× usual	95%	243d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 93¢	$18.6k	93%	244d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 95¢	$19.0k	95%	244d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 98.4¢	$14.2k	98%	244d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 94¢	$18.8k	94%	245d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?	LOW SELL No @ 98.9¢	$88.6k 4.5× usual	1%	245d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 95¢	$18.9k	95%	245d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢	$14.8k	99%	253d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢	$19.8k	99%	254d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 98¢	$19.6k	98%	254d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 98¢	$19.6k	98%	254d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 98¢	$19.6k	98%	254d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢	$19.9k	99%	255d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢	$19.7k	99%	256d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 98.3¢	$55.0k 2.8× usual	98%	256d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 97.5¢	$95.0k 4.8× usual	98%	257d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 97.5¢	$200.7k 10.1× usual	97%	257d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 98.2¢	$99.2k 5.0× usual	98%	257d ago	excluded

whataplaya

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