← Live flags
Will France win on 2026-07-18?
Resolved: No
Flags
82
Net whale flow → Yes
+$2.36M
Yes 7d ago → now
—
Category
Sports
Live on this marketconnecting…
Loading the latest $10k+ trades from Polymarket…
Straight from Polymarket's public trade feed, refreshed every 10s while this tab is open. Grades appear after markets resolve. Information, not advice.
Who's on each side
Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.
| Side | All whales | Proven | Losing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | $2.89M 53 flags |
$676.8k 5 wallets |
none |
| No | $1.16M 16 flags |
$534.3k 1 wallet |
none |
| Not No | $675.7k 11 flags |
none | none |
| Not Yes | $40.7k 2 flags |
none | none |
A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.
Flags on this market
| Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $99.9k 3.7× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $210.3k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $40.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $17.7k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 23¢ | $38.1k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 25¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 77¢ | $21.6k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 87¢ | $13.8k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 97.1¢ | $132.8k 5.0× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 88¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| HIGH BUY No @ 67¢ | $401.6k 15.1× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.7¢ | $13.1k | excluded |
| MED SELL No @ 98.8¢ | $175.8k | excluded |
| HIGH SELL No @ 94.8¢ | $285.2k 5.2× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99¢ | $18.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $15.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $16.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 90¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 55¢ | $36.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 84¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 41¢ | $60.9k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 74¢ | $28.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 83¢ | $15.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 17¢ | $19.3k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 37¢ | $15.7k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 55¢ | $43.0k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 38¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 39¢ | $15.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 38¢ | $12.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 39¢ | $11.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 57¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 57¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 57¢ | $96.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 57¢ | $14.5k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 57¢ | $26.2k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 44¢ | $44.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 57¢ | $58.3k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 56¢ | $412.5k 6.5× usual |
excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 56¢ | $69.2k 3.2× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 56¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 45¢ | $117.1k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 56¢ | $50.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 56¢ | $40.3k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 56¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 56¢ | $30.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 55¢ | $18.8k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 45¢ | $18.0k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 45¢ | $16.3k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $62.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $15.9k | missed |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $106.9k 5.1× usual |
missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $10.8k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $15.3k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 46¢ | $12.9k | missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $37.7k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $10.1k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $10.4k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $10.6k | missed |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $28.7k | missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $195.3k 3.9× usual |
missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $11.0k | missed |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $251.6k 3.9× usual |
missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $69.2k 2.1× usual |
missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $15.0k | missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $59.8k 3.2× usual |
missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $26.5k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $19.4k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $16.8k | missed |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $260.0k 5.9× usual |
missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $10.8k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $10.4k | missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 51¢ | $67.7k 2.1× usual |
missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 51¢ | $170.7k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 50¢ | $58.2k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 50¢ | $20.1k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 50¢ | $13.6k | missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 50¢ | $51.2k 2.4× usual |
missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 50¢ | $15.5k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 50¢ | $20.0k | missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 50¢ | $150.3k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 50¢ | $10.6k | missed |
Summary
WhaleGrader has logged 82 whale trades on this market totalling $4.76M from 68 wallets. The largest was $412.5k (buy Yes at 56¢). Most whale money ($2.89M) went to Yes. 18 of 82 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, swisstony ($596.4k), has called 51 of 62 graded flags overall (+10.0 pts vs price).
Market data from Polymarket (fifwc-fra-eng-2026-07-18-fra).