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Will France win on 2026-07-18?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $28.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 74% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will France win on 2026-07-18?excluded$28.8k
BUY No @ 74¢ · 39,000 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet FlamePyro took No (buy) for $28.8k at an average 74¢. At that price the market implied a 74% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $28.8k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 74¢ means
74%chance the market gave
−282American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 74¢
- Implied odds
- 73.8%
- As American odds
- −282 no vig
- Size
- $28.8k
- Placed
- Jul 18, 17:29 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 18, 17:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- FlamePyro
- Tx
- 0x784341ca…
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +26 ptsNo price · entry 74¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-07-18? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $99.9k 3.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-18? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $210.3k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-18? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-18? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $40.1k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-18? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $17.7k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-18? | MED BUY Yes @ 23¢ | $38.1k | excluded |