afonsoo003

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?+$127Yes · avg 97.6¢ → 98.2¢ · $19.1k Will Benfica finish top 8 in UEL league phase?+$127Yes · avg 71¢ → 96¢ · $485 Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?−$475No · avg 68¢ → 11¢ · $92 Will Kate Scott attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?+$10Yes · avg 82¢ → 99¢ · $60 Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?+$30Yes · avg 28¢ → 58¢ · $59 Will Benfica win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?+$10Yes · avg 26¢ → 32¢ · $52 Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Maranhão?+$5Yes · avg 81¢ → 97.7¢ · $29 Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?−$163No · avg 34¢ → 4.3¢ · $24

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$105.3k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$11.9k

Last 30 days +$559 · $4.44M volume · 8,239 trades · since Jan 02, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L · recent 500 closed

+$59.8k

Open P&L · 17 positions

−$254

Closed-position win rate

100%

500 closed

Wallet age · markets

295d

2993 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will France win on 2026-07-18?	LOW BUY No @ 99¢	$17.7k	99%	97d ago	excluded
France vs. England: Team to Win	LOW SELL England @ 74¢	$16.5k	26%	97d ago	excluded
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5	LOW SELL Over @ 99.9¢	$34.0k	0%	108d ago	excluded
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5	LOW BUY Over @ 97.6¢	$37.1k	98%	129d ago	excluded

Will France win on 2026-07-18?excluded

BUY No @ 99¢$17.7k

LOW afonsoo003 · 97d ago

France vs. England: Team to Winexcluded

SELL England @ 74¢$16.5k

LOW afonsoo003 · 97d ago

Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5excluded

SELL Over @ 99.9¢$34.0k

LOW afonsoo003 · 108d ago

Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5excluded

BUY Over @ 97.6¢$37.1k

LOW afonsoo003 · 129d ago

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