0xe30e…6b87

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.5 wins, so it did -23.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Price-adjusted edge

-23.0 pts

Called / graded

1/2

Expected from price

1.5

Flagged volume

$1.90M

Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±31.2 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$1.07M

Last 30 days −$121.0k · $20.37M volume · 8,464 trades · since Mar 10, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$3.70M

Open P&L · 51 positions

−$2.40M

Closed-position win rate

87%

79 closed

Wallet age · markets

228d

121 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Sports	2	1	1.5	-23.0 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev	MED BUY Daniil Medvedev @ 59¢	$183.8k	59%	18d ago	excluded
Cincinnati Open: Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirante	MED BUY Thiago Agustin Tirante @ 31¢	$71.4k	31%	69d ago	excluded
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo	MED SELL Gabriel Diallo @ 31¢	$97.1k	69%	80d ago	excluded
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo	HIGH BUY Gabriel Diallo @ 60¢	$292.7k 2.9× usual	60%	80d ago	missed
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo	MED BUY Gabriel Diallo @ 58¢	$52.0k	58%	80d ago	missed
Will France win on 2026-07-18?	LOW BUY Yes @ 57¢	$96.9k	57%	97d ago	excluded
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 54¢	$406.0k 4.0× usual	54%	104d ago	excluded
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	MED BUY Yes @ 62¢	$240.8k 2.4× usual	62%	106d ago	excluded
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	MED BUY Spurs @ 79¢	$96.4k	79%	164d ago	excluded
76ers vs. Celtics	MED BUY Celtics @ 69¢	$229.5k 2.3× usual	69%	174d ago	excluded
Magic vs. Pistons	MED BUY Pistons @ 78¢	$103.9k	78%	184d ago	called
Warriors vs. Clippers	LOW BUY Clippers @ 68¢	$28.0k	68%	191d ago	missed

China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedevexcluded

BUY Daniil Medvedev @ 59¢$183.8k

MED 0xe30e…6b87 · 18d ago

Cincinnati Open: Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tiranteexcluded

BUY Thiago Agustin Tirante @ 31¢$71.4k

MED 0xe30e…6b87 · 69d ago

National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Dialloexcluded

SELL Gabriel Diallo @ 31¢$97.1k

MED 0xe30e…6b87 · 80d ago

National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallomissed

BUY Gabriel Diallo @ 60¢$292.7k

HIGH 0xe30e…6b87 · 80d ago

National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallomissed

BUY Gabriel Diallo @ 58¢$52.0k

MED 0xe30e…6b87 · 80d ago

Will France win on 2026-07-18?excluded

BUY Yes @ 57¢$96.9k

LOW 0xe30e…6b87 · 97d ago

Will England win on 2026-07-11?excluded

BUY Yes @ 54¢$406.0k

HIGH 0xe30e…6b87 · 104d ago

Will France win on 2026-07-09?excluded

BUY Yes @ 62¢$240.8k

MED 0xe30e…6b87 · 106d ago

Timberwolves vs. Spursexcluded

BUY Spurs @ 79¢$96.4k

MED 0xe30e…6b87 · 164d ago

76ers vs. Celticsexcluded

BUY Celtics @ 69¢$229.5k

MED 0xe30e…6b87 · 174d ago

Magic vs. Pistonscalled

BUY Pistons @ 78¢$103.9k

MED 0xe30e…6b87 · 184d ago

Warriors vs. Clippersmissed

BUY Clippers @ 68¢$28.0k

LOW 0xe30e…6b87 · 191d ago

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