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Will France win on 2026-07-09?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $240.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 62% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will France win on 2026-07-09?excluded$240.8k
BUY Yes @ 62¢ · 390,000 shares
Size ≥ $100kLate (<1h before start)2.4× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet 0xe30e…6b87 took Yes (buy) for $240.8k at an average 62¢. At that price the market implied a 62% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $240.8k+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 62¢ means
62%chance the market gave
−161American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 62¢
- Implied odds
- 61.8%
- As American odds
- −161 no vig
- Size
- $240.8k
- Placed
- Jul 09, 15:55 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 09, 16:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0xe30e…6b87
- Tx
- 0x2f618dca…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-23.0 pts
expected 1.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +38 ptsYes price · entry 62¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-07-09? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $38.3k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $20.1k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $16.2k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $17.1k | excluded |