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What this means. A wallet put $292.7k on Gabriel Diallo, at a price that gave it a 60% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallomissed
$292.7k
BUY Gabriel Diallo @ 60¢ · 486,484 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $250k3 fills in 1h2.9× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet 0xe30e…6b87 took Gabriel Diallo (buy) for $292.7k at an average 60¢. At that price the market implied a 60% chance for that side. The market resolved Luciano Darderi, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

HIGH
Size $292.7k+3
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 60¢ means
60%chance the market gave
−151American odds
$1.00paid per share if Gabriel Diallo wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
60¢
Implied odds
60.2%
As American odds
−151 no vig
Size
$292.7k
Placed
Aug 04, 17:52 EDT
Market close
Aug 04, 21:45 EDT
Result
Luciano Darderi
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0xe30e…6b87
Tx
0xc2cd6bb9…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-23.0 pts
expected 1.5 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -60 pts
Gabriel Diallo price · entry 60¢ · resolved Luciano Darderi
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 60¢ · $292.7k WHALE $292.7K @ 60¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel DialloMED SELL Luciano Darderi @ 77¢ $78.6k
4.9× usual
23% LarryDaddy80d agoexcluded
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel DialloMED BUY Luciano Darderi @ 88¢ $178.2k
4.3× usual
88% 0x2c33…056380d agoexcluded
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel DialloMED BUY Luciano Darderi @ 95.1¢ $67.5k
2.3× usual
95% 00XyXyzzyxzzqyej233j2j3280d agoexcluded
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel DialloMED BUY Luciano Darderi @ 79¢ $46.4k
2.1× usual
79% ferrariChampions202680d agoexcluded
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel DialloHIGH BUY Gabriel Diallo @ 84¢ $264.6k
6.4× usual
84% 0x2c33…056380d agoexcluded
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel DialloLOW BUY Gabriel Diallo @ 68¢ $10.1k68% 0xe911…3d4e80d agoexcluded