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What this means. A wallet put $292.7k on Gabriel Diallo, at a price that gave it a 60% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$292.7k
BUY Gabriel Diallo @ 60¢ · 486,484 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $250k3 fills in 1h2.9× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet 0xe30e…6b87 took Gabriel Diallo (buy) for $292.7k at an average 60¢. At that price the market implied a 60% chance for that side. The market resolved Luciano Darderi, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $292.7k+3
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 60¢ means
60%chance the market gave
−151American odds
$1.00paid per share if Gabriel Diallo wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 60¢
- Implied odds
- 60.2%
- As American odds
- −151 no vig
- Size
- $292.7k
- Placed
- Aug 04, 17:52 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 04, 21:45 EDT
- Result
- Luciano Darderi
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xe30e…6b87
- Tx
- 0xc2cd6bb9…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-23.0 pts
expected 1.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -60 ptsGabriel Diallo price · entry 60¢ · resolved Luciano Darderi
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| MED SELL Luciano Darderi @ 77¢ | $78.6k 4.9× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Luciano Darderi @ 88¢ | $178.2k 4.3× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Luciano Darderi @ 95.1¢ | $67.5k 2.3× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Luciano Darderi @ 79¢ | $46.4k 2.1× usual |
excluded | |
| HIGH BUY Gabriel Diallo @ 84¢ | $264.6k 6.4× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Gabriel Diallo @ 68¢ | $10.1k | excluded |