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What this means. A wallet put $264.6k on Gabriel Diallo, at a price that gave it a 84% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-3.3 pts over 55 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$264.6k
BUY Gabriel Diallo @ 84¢ · 315,423 shares in 5 fills
Size ≥ $250k5 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)6.5× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet 0x2c33…0563 took Gabriel Diallo (buy) for $264.6k at an average 84¢. At that price the market implied a 84% chance for that side. The market resolved Luciano Darderi. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $264.6k+3
5 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 84¢ means
84%chance the market gave
−520American odds
$1.00paid per share if Gabriel Diallo wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 84¢
- Implied odds
- 83.9%
- As American odds
- −520 no vig
- Size
- $264.6k
- Placed
- Aug 04, 22:52 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 04, 21:45 EDT
- Result
- Luciano Darderi
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x2c33…0563
- Tx
- 0xee0d861a…
This wallet's graded record
28/55-3.3 pts
expected 29.8 from price
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Entry to resolution
Grade -84 ptsGabriel Diallo price · entry 84¢ · resolved Luciano Darderi
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo | MED SELL Luciano Darderi @ 77¢ | $78.6k 4.9× usual |
excluded |
| National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo | MED BUY Luciano Darderi @ 88¢ | $178.2k 4.4× usual |
excluded |
| National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo | MED BUY Luciano Darderi @ 95.1¢ | $67.5k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo | MED BUY Luciano Darderi @ 79¢ | $46.4k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo | LOW BUY Gabriel Diallo @ 68¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo | MED SELL Gabriel Diallo @ 31¢ | $97.1k | excluded |