National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo
Who's on each side
Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.
| Side | All whales | Proven | Losing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Diallo | $640.1k 5 flags |
$20.8k 1 wallet |
none |
| Luciano Darderi | $292.2k 3 flags |
none | none |
| Not Gabriel Diallo | $97.1k 1 flag |
none | none |
| Not Luciano Darderi | $78.6k 1 flag |
none | none |
A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.
Flags on this market
| Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|
| MED SELL Luciano Darderi @ 77¢ | $78.6k 4.9× usual |
excluded |
| MED BUY Luciano Darderi @ 88¢ | $178.2k 4.3× usual |
excluded |
| MED BUY Luciano Darderi @ 95.1¢ | $67.5k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| MED BUY Luciano Darderi @ 79¢ | $46.4k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| HIGH BUY Gabriel Diallo @ 84¢ | $264.6k 6.3× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Gabriel Diallo @ 68¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| MED SELL Gabriel Diallo @ 31¢ | $97.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Gabriel Diallo @ 61¢ | $20.8k | missed |
| HIGH BUY Gabriel Diallo @ 60¢ | $292.7k 2.9× usual |
missed |
| MED BUY Gabriel Diallo @ 58¢ | $52.0k | missed |
Summary
WhaleGrader has logged 10 whale trades on this market totalling $1.11M from 7 wallets. The largest was $292.7k (buy Gabriel Diallo at 60¢). Most whale money ($640.1k) went to Gabriel Diallo. 4 of 10 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, 0x2c33…0563 ($442.8k), has called 27 of 54 graded flags overall (-3.7 pts vs price).
Market data from Polymarket (atp-darderi-diallo-2026-08-04).