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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.2 wins, so it did -10.5 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-10.5 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.2
Flagged volume
$105.7k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±34.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$52.1k
Last 30 days +$0 · $381.3k volume · 62 trades · since Jun 17, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$61.8k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
21%
14 closed
Wallet age · markets
129d
61 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 1 | 1.2 | -10.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will France win on 2026-07-18? | LOW BUY Yes @ 56¢ | $30.9k | excluded |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW BUY France @ 60¢ | $19.8k | missed |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 68¢ | $20.7k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Argentina @ 76¢ | $22.9k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09? | LOW BUY Yes @ 61¢ | $11.5k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x73e2e5…