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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did -40.9 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-40.9 pts
Called / graded
0/2
Expected from price
0.8
Flagged volume
$1.10M
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±34.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$1.57M
Last 30 days +$0 · $6.12M volume · 2,116 trades · since Jul 15, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$316.2k
Open P&L · 8 positions
−$1.85M
Closed-position win rate
100%
1 closed
Wallet age · markets
101d
9 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 0 | 0.8 | -40.9 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | MED BUY Argentina @ 42¢ | $584.0k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | HIGH BUY Argentina @ 41¢ | $299.0k | missed |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | MED BUY Argentina @ 41¢ | $192.9k | missed |
| Will France win on 2026-07-18? | LOW BUY Yes @ 17¢ | $19.3k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x669dc9…