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What this means. A wallet put $584.0k on Argentina, at a price that gave it a 42% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$584.0k
BUY Argentina @ 42¢ · 1,393,201 shares
Size ≥ $250kLate (<1h before start)2.4× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet tttny took Argentina (buy) for $584.0k at an average 42¢. At that price the market implied a 42% chance for that side. The market resolved Spain. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $584.0k+3
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 42¢ means
42%chance the market gave
+139American odds
$1.00paid per share if Argentina wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 42¢
- Implied odds
- 41.9%
- As American odds
- +139 no vig
- Size
- $584.0k
- Placed
- Jul 19, 15:03 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 19, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Spain
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- tttny
- Tx
- 0x849e4a28…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-40.9 pts
expected 0.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -42 ptsArgentina price · entry 42¢ · resolved Spain
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $33.7k | excluded |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $29.8k | excluded |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $39.4k | excluded |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | MED SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $72.4k | excluded |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $13.4k | excluded |