← Live flags
Will France win on 2026-07-18?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $132.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 97% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+10.0 pts over 62 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will France win on 2026-07-18?excluded$132.8k
BUY No @ 97.1¢ · 136,717 shares in 5 fills
Size ≥ $100kHeavy favorite5 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Proven wallet5× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet swisstony took No (buy) for $132.8k at an average 97.1¢. At that price the market implied a 97% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $132.8k+2
Near-certain price-2
5 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 97¢ means
97%chance the market gave
−3364American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 97.1¢
- Implied odds
- 97.1%
- As American odds
- −3364 no vig
- Size
- $132.8k
- Placed
- Jul 18, 18:19 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 18, 17:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- swisstony
- Tx
- 0xaf66ab97…
This wallet's graded record
51/62+10.0 pts
expected 44.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +3 ptsNo price · entry 97.1¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-07-18? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $99.9k 3.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-18? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $210.3k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-18? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-18? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $40.1k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-18? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $17.7k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-18? | MED BUY Yes @ 23¢ | $38.1k | excluded |