← Wallets
−$420No · avg 45¢ → 42¢ · $5,950
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.1 wins, so it did -2.5 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-2.5 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.1
Flagged volume
$54.2k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±35.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$79.4k
Last 30 days +$8,237 · $10.22M volume · 25,367 trades · since Nov 10, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$144.1k
Open P&L · 2 positions
−$421
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
348d
765 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 1 | 1.1 | -2.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Suns vs. Trail Blazers | LOW BUY Trail Blazers @ 60¢ | $21.0k | excluded |
 Will France win on 2026-07-18? | LOW SELL No @ 46¢ | $12.9k | missed |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? | LOW SELL No @ 63¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| Kings vs. Nets | LOW BUY Nets @ 51¢ | $10.2k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x52ed50…