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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did -47.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-47.0 pts
Called / graded
0/2
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$80.5k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±35.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$13.9k
Last 30 days +$0 · $351.2k volume · 12 trades · since Jul 09, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$13.9k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
33%
3 closed
Wallet age · markets
107d
3 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 0 | 0.9 | -47.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will France win on 2026-07-18? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $28.7k | missed |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | HIGH SELL Yes @ 59¢ | $51.8k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xbd0ea6…