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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.5 wins, so it did -17.7 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-17.7 pts
Called / graded
1/3
Expected from price
1.5
Flagged volume
$63.4k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±28.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$140.0k
Last 30 days +$0 · $2.22M volume · 1,591 trades · since Jun 09, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$140.0k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
30%
136 closed
Wallet age · markets
137d
135 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 1 | 1.5 | -17.7 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will France win on 2026-07-18? | LOW BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $10.6k | missed |
 LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winner | LOW SELL LYON @ 99.9¢ | $16.0k | excluded |
| Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score | LOW BUY Yes @ 50¢ | $20.0k | called |
| Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score | LOW BUY Yes @ 50¢ | $16.8k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xe4ebcc…