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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.5 wins, so it did -53.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-53.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.5
Flagged volume
$127.6k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$777.3k
Last 30 days +$0 · $14.37M volume · 69,163 trades · since Oct 31, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$6.07M
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$90.3k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
2183d
9259 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | -53.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton | LOW BUY Ben Shelton @ 42¢ | $89.8k | excluded |
 Will France win on 2026-07-18? | MED BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $37.7k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x0d18e3…