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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.1 wins, so it did -55.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-55.0 pts
Called / graded
0/2
Expected from price
1.1
Flagged volume
$83.2k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±35.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$274.1k
Last 30 days −$110.8k · $20.98M volume · 17,188 trades · since Oct 30, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$1.67M
Open P&L · 308 positions
−$1.74M
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
359d
881 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 0 | 1.1 | -55.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY Arthur Gea @ 53¢ | $13.2k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Jenson Brooksby @ 54¢ | $13.5k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 77¢ | $15.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Tommy Paul @ 60¢ | $14.6k | missed | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 50¢ | $15.5k | missed | |
| LOW BUY Under @ 80¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x0353aa…