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AGUGava

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.1 wins, so it did -55.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-55.0 pts
Called / graded
0/2
Expected from price
1.1
Flagged volume
$83.2k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±35.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$274.1k
Last 30 days −$110.8k · $20.98M volume · 17,188 trades · since Oct 30, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$1.67M
Open P&L · 308 positions
−$1.74M
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
359d
881 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports201.1-55.0 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur GeaLOW BUY Arthur Gea @ 53¢ $13.2k53% 21d agoexcluded
US Open ATP: Jaime Faria vs Jenson BrooksbyLOW BUY Jenson Brooksby @ 54¢ $13.5k54% 54d agoexcluded
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28?LOW BUY Yes @ 77¢ $15.3k77% 56d agoexcluded
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio CobolliLOW BUY Tommy Paul @ 60¢ $14.6k60% 64d agomissed
Will France win on 2026-07-18?LOW BUY Yes @ 50¢ $15.5k50% 99d agomissed
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5LOW BUY Under @ 80¢ $11.0k80% 108d agoexcluded

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