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What this means. A wallet put $14.6k on Tommy Paul, at a price that gave it a 60% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobollimissed
$14.6k
BUY Tommy Paul @ 60¢ · 24,376 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports

What happened

Wallet AGUGava took Tommy Paul (buy) for $14.6k at an average 60¢. At that price the market implied a 60% chance for that side. The market resolved Flavio Cobolli, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $14.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 60¢ means
60%chance the market gave
−150American odds
$1.00paid per share if Tommy Paul wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
60¢
Implied odds
60.0%
As American odds
−150 no vig
Size
$14.6k
Placed
Aug 20, 07:13 EDT
Market close
Aug 20, 15:45 EDT
Result
Flavio Cobolli
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
AGUGava
Tx
0xd8ceca20…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-55.0 pts
expected 1.1 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -60 pts
Tommy Paul price · entry 60¢ · resolved Flavio Cobolli
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 60¢ · $14.6k WHALE $14.6K @ 60¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio CobolliLOW SELL Flavio Cobolli @ 99.9¢ $10.1k0% alaskabaked65d agoexcluded
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio CobolliLOW SELL Flavio Cobolli @ 99.9¢ $14.1k0% 0xe1dd…fb6765d agoexcluded
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio CobolliMED SELL Flavio Cobolli @ 56¢ $61.4k
2.2× usual
44% 0x5f65…203665d agoexcluded
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio CobolliMED BUY Flavio Cobolli @ 64¢ $41.5k64% 0x547f…293765d agoexcluded
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio CobolliLOW SELL Flavio Cobolli @ 92¢ $11.1k8% dmoralez65d agoexcluded
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio CobolliMED BUY Flavio Cobolli @ 54¢ $84.7k
2.1× usual
54% 0x2c33…056365d agoexcluded