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What this means. A wallet put $14.6k on Tommy Paul, at a price that gave it a 60% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$14.6k
BUY Tommy Paul @ 60¢ · 24,376 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet AGUGava took Tommy Paul (buy) for $14.6k at an average 60¢. At that price the market implied a 60% chance for that side. The market resolved Flavio Cobolli, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $14.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 60¢ means
60%chance the market gave
−150American odds
$1.00paid per share if Tommy Paul wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 60¢
- Implied odds
- 60.0%
- As American odds
- −150 no vig
- Size
- $14.6k
- Placed
- Aug 20, 07:13 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 20, 15:45 EDT
- Result
- Flavio Cobolli
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- AGUGava
- Tx
- 0xd8ceca20…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-55.0 pts
expected 1.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -60 ptsTommy Paul price · entry 60¢ · resolved Flavio Cobolli
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Flavio Cobolli @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Flavio Cobolli @ 99.9¢ | $14.1k | excluded | |
| MED SELL Flavio Cobolli @ 56¢ | $61.4k 2.2× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Flavio Cobolli @ 64¢ | $41.5k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Flavio Cobolli @ 92¢ | $11.1k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Flavio Cobolli @ 54¢ | $84.7k 2.1× usual |
excluded |