xxzws1

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +4.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?+$1,457Yes · avg 78¢ → 80¢ · $58.9k Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?−$418Yes · avg 44¢ → 26¢ · $586

Price-adjusted edge

+4.0 pts

Called / graded

1/2

Expected from price

0.9

Flagged volume

$176.8k

Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±33.8 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$8,705

Last 30 days −$10.1k · $10.06M volume · 6,490 trades · since Feb 04, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$1.61M

Open P&L · 233 positions

−$1.60M

Closed-position win rate

89%

189 closed

Wallet age · markets

262d

416 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Sports	2	1	0.9	+4.0 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will France win on 2026-07-18?	LOW BUY Yes @ 57¢	$26.2k 2.0× usual	57%	97d ago	excluded
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	LOW SELL Yes @ 72¢	$18.1k	28%	132d ago	excluded
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	LOW BUY Yes @ 61¢	$15.3k	61%	132d ago	excluded
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	LOW BUY Yes @ 36¢	$11.9k	36%	132d ago	excluded
Thunder vs. Spurs	LOW BUY Spurs @ 60¢	$10.5k	60%	148d ago	called
Spurs vs. Thunder	LOW BUY Spurs @ 42¢	$13.0k	42%	150d ago	excluded
Spurs vs. Thunder	LOW BUY Spurs @ 32¢	$10.0k	32%	156d ago	missed
Spurs vs. Thunder	LOW BUY Spurs @ 68¢	$10.1k	68%	158d ago	excluded
Lakers vs. Thunder	LOW BUY Thunder @ 86¢	$22.9k	86%	171d ago	excluded
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?	LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢	$27.7k 2.1× usual	0%	234d ago	excluded
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	LOW SELL Timberwolves @ 99.9¢	$11.0k	0%	236d ago	excluded

Will France win on 2026-07-18?excluded

BUY Yes @ 57¢$26.2k

LOW xxzws1 · 97d ago

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?excluded

SELL Yes @ 72¢$18.1k

LOW xxzws1 · 132d ago

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?excluded

BUY Yes @ 61¢$15.3k

LOW xxzws1 · 132d ago

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?excluded

BUY Yes @ 36¢$11.9k

LOW xxzws1 · 132d ago

Thunder vs. Spurscalled

BUY Spurs @ 60¢$10.5k

LOW xxzws1 · 148d ago

Spurs vs. Thunderexcluded

BUY Spurs @ 42¢$13.0k

LOW xxzws1 · 150d ago

Spurs vs. Thundermissed

BUY Spurs @ 32¢$10.0k

LOW xxzws1 · 156d ago

Spurs vs. Thunderexcluded

BUY Spurs @ 68¢$10.1k

LOW xxzws1 · 158d ago

Lakers vs. Thunderexcluded

BUY Thunder @ 86¢$22.9k

LOW xxzws1 · 171d ago

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?excluded

SELL No @ 99.9¢$27.7k

LOW xxzws1 · 234d ago

Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsexcluded

SELL Timberwolves @ 99.9¢$11.0k

LOW xxzws1 · 236d ago

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