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What this means. A wallet put $15.3k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 61% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?excluded
$15.3k
BUY Yes @ 61¢ · 25,144 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet xxzws1 took Yes (buy) for $15.3k at an average 61¢. At that price the market implied a 61% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $15.3k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 61¢ means
61%chance the market gave
−156American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
61¢
Implied odds
61.0%
As American odds
−156 no vig
Size
$15.3k
Placed
Jun 13, 20:59 EDT
Market close
Jun 13, 21:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
xxzws1
Tx
0x8cc5a2c4…
This wallet's graded record
1/2+4.0 pts
expected 0.9 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +39 pts
Yes price · entry 61¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 61¢ · $15.3k WHALE $15.3K @ 61¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $15.6k0% FirstStep132d agoexcluded
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $249.8k
2.7× usual
0% 0x5966…f804132d agoexcluded
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $24.3k0% ThePREDICTORRRR132d agoexcluded
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $25.1k0% PT-S2132d agoexcluded
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $65.0k
2.1× usual
0% trillionaire132d agoexcluded
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $16.6k0% Dreamwalker132d agoexcluded