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What this means. A wallet put $14.5k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 57% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will France win on 2026-07-18?excluded
$14.5k
BUY Yes @ 57¢ · 25,512 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet dsjhalkdj took Yes (buy) for $14.5k at an average 57¢. At that price the market implied a 57% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $14.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 57¢ means
57%chance the market gave
−133American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
57¢
Implied odds
57.0%
As American odds
−133 no vig
Size
$14.5k
Placed
Jul 18, 16:49 EDT
Market close
Jul 18, 17:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
dsjhalkdj
Tx
0x94bf3bb9…

Entry to resolution

Grade -57 pts
Yes price · entry 57¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 57¢ · $14.5k WHALE $14.5K @ 57¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will France win on 2026-07-18?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $99.9k
3.7× usual
0% 02-97d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-07-18?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $210.3k100% AnewFaith97d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-07-18?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $10.6k0% lasiweijiasi97d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-07-18?LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ $40.1k99% llllllllllllllllllllllll97d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-07-18?LOW BUY No @ 99¢ $17.7k99% afonsoo00397d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-07-18?MED BUY Yes @ 23¢ $38.1k23% 0x2c33…056397d agoexcluded