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Weekly report card

Week 2026-34

Aug 17, 00:00 EDT – Aug 23, 23:59 EDT · markets that resolved this week

Price-adjusted edge
-7.9 pts
Called
48/96
Expected from price
55.6
Std. error
±4.7

In week 2026-34, 96 graded flags resolved. The flagged side won 48 times; entry prices implied 55.6. Whales did no better than the price (-7.9 pts). One week is a small sample.

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports833846.2-9.9 pts
Other1197.6+12.7 pts
Crypto211.8-39.5 pts

Every graded flag

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International PlayoffsHIGH BUY Team Spirit @ 63¢ $1.35M
8.2× usual
63% Djdjdjekekek63d agocalled
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International PlayoffsHIGH BUY Team Spirit @ 62¢ $883.3k
5.3× usual
62% Djdjdjekekek63d agocalled
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?HIGH BUY Yes @ 51¢ $452.2k51% 0x2ba6…644c61d agomissed
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International PlayoffsHIGH BUY TEAM VISION @ 56¢ $266.5k56% Alhimik NEW62d agomissed
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?MED BUY No @ 85¢ $169.9k
6.3× usual
85% ArmageddonRewardsBilly PROVEN108d agocalled
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?MED BUY Yes @ 44¢ $135.6k
3.3× usual
44% gransaaa LOSING63d agocalled
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?MED BUY No @ 50¢ $92.7k
2.3× usual
50% gransaaa LOSING62d agocalled
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsLOW BUY FURIA @ 55¢ $88.4k
2.6× usual
55% YYYYY99964d agocalled
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsMED BUY BoomBoys @ 58¢ $73.2k58% 0x2c33…056364d agocalled
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsLOW BUY G2 @ 45¢ $71.8k
4.0× usual
45% dauntlesswitness64d agomissed
Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-23?MED BUY No @ 47¢ $64.1k
3.0× usual
47% omnibus-076daa PROVEN62d agomissed
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?MED BUY No @ 56¢ $57.4k56% Weaseloftheweek62d agomissed
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International PlayoffsLOW BUY Team Spirit @ 62¢ $52.8k62% 0x2c33…056363d agocalled
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?MED BUY Yes @ 51¢ $51.0k51% AV23IUa PROVEN61d agomissed
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsLOW BUY Iron Wing @ 42¢ $48.3k42% YYYYY99964d agomissed
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International PlayoffsMED BUY TEAM VISION @ 57¢ $46.8k
2.8× usual
57% Bettong62d agomissed
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsLOW BUY Spirit @ 73¢ $46.4k
2.0× usual
73% StasPanda62d agocalled
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena RybakinaLOW BUY Iga Swiatek @ 60¢ $44.2k
2.4× usual
60% kamloic64d agocalled
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International PlayoffsLOW BUY TEAM VISION @ 75¢ $44.1k
2.6× usual
75% Bettong63d agocalled
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International PlayoffsLOW BUY TEAM VISION @ 58¢ $41.8k58% Weaseloftheweek62d agomissed
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International PlayoffsLOW BUY Team Spirit @ 76¢ $40.0k76% tony191962d agocalled
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsMED SELL Vitality @ 56¢ $35.8k
3.0× usual
44% Xyp9xFan63d agocalled
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil MedvedevMED BUY Daniil Medvedev @ 55¢ $35.7k55% TennisLove67d agomissed
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsLOW BUY FURIA @ 61¢ $34.5k61% Sickasulu62d agomissed
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay RaysLOW BUY Tampa Bay Rays @ 60¢ $32.9k60% 0x16bb…849267d agocalled
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International PlayoffsLOW BUY BoomBoys @ 37¢ $32.1k37% YYYYY99963d agomissed
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 95¢ $31.9k95% Trump2028103d agocalled
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena RybakinaMED BUY Iga Swiatek @ 59¢ $31.6k59% AV23IUa PROVEN64d agocalled
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?MED BUY No @ 83¢ $31.5k83% hopedieslast108d agocalled
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 83¢ $31.3k83% tourists108d agocalled
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International PlayoffsLOW BUY TEAM VISION @ 76¢ $30.0k76% tony191963d agocalled
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International PlayoffsMED SELL TEAM VISION @ 73¢ $29.2k27% ultrahypedmike63d agomissed
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsLOW BUY Iron Wing @ 41¢ $27.9k41% casualbet202064d agomissed
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-23?MED BUY Yes @ 73¢ $26.9k73% purplegatto PROVEN61d agocalled
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsLOW BUY Spirit @ 42¢ $26.6k42% SPCEXBUYER63d agocalled
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International PlayoffsMED BUY TEAM VISION @ 64¢ $25.4k64% 364839348904764d agocalled
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-19?LOW BUY Yes @ 72¢ $24.1k72% norrisfan65d agocalled
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsLOW BUY FURIA @ 60¢ $24.0k60% Wiretransferxyz63d agomissed
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International PlayoffsLOW BUY Team Falcons @ 68¢ $23.9k68% StasPanda65d agomissed
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International PlayoffsLOW BUY Team Spirit @ 34¢ $23.8k34% 0x9f15…bdb364d agomissed
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil MedvedevLOW BUY Daniil Medvedev @ 58¢ $23.5k58% Vps166d agomissed
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil MedvedevLOW BUY Daniil Medvedev @ 58¢ $22.0k58% 0xf559…f46266d agomissed
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International PlayoffsLOW BUY TEAM VISION @ 75¢ $21.2k75% MeiGuNiuBi63d agocalled
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International PlayoffsLOW BUY Team Falcons @ 67¢ $20.6k67% 0x9f15…bdb364d agomissed
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsLOW BUY Spirit @ 76¢ $20.3k76% jaytee15862d agocalled
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International PlayoffsLOW BUY TEAM VISION @ 63¢ $20.0k63% PendulumExchange64d agocalled
49ers vs. ChargersLOW BUY Chargers @ 51¢ $20.0k51% 0x3dfb…abaf64d agomissed
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-23?LOW BUY Yes @ 73¢ $19.8k73% RegardedMoney PROVEN61d agocalled
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsLOW BUY G2 @ 42¢ $19.4k42% SPCEXBUYER64d agomissed
Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro TabiloLOW BUY Alejandro Tabilo @ 35¢ $19.2k35% Shafran-LudiKNICKS67d agomissed
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International PlayoffsLOW BUY TEAM VISION @ 63¢ $18.7k63% NO-GOD-PLEASE-NO64d agocalled
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International PlayoffsLOW BUY Team Liquid @ 37¢ $18.5k37% mrmoonlight63d agomissed
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International PlayoffsLOW BUY Team Liquid @ 37¢ $18.5k37% wan12363d agomissed
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International PlayoffsLOW BUY TEAM VISION @ 57¢ $17.1k57% Uniform12362d agomissed
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International PlayoffsLOW BUY TEAM VISION @ 57¢ $16.8k57% l0wkirkenuinely62d agomissed
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay RaysLOW BUY Tampa Bay Rays @ 61¢ $16.6k61% 0xf559…f46267d agocalled
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International PlayoffsLOW BUY Team Spirit @ 67¢ $16.3k67% kindar62d agocalled
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21?LOW BUY No @ 19¢ $16.0k19% MiltonFriedmanHongKong63d agomissed
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 19¢ $16.0k19% wan123123d agomissed
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International PlayoffsLOW BUY Nigma Galaxy @ 34¢ $15.1k34% umeax64d agomissed
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?LOW BUY Yes @ 51¢ $14.8k51% maxgreen61d agomissed
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena RybakinaLOW BUY Elena Rybakina @ 42¢ $14.7k42% CORGII64d agomissed
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International PlayoffsLOW BUY Team Spirit @ 68¢ $14.7k68% muneyenjayerrr62d agocalled
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio CobolliLOW BUY Tommy Paul @ 60¢ $14.6k60% AGUGava64d agomissed
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International PlayoffsLOW BUY Team Falcons @ 48¢ $14.4k48% thatguythatguy64d agomissed
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International PlayoffsLOW BUY TEAM VISION @ 57¢ $14.2k57% thatguythatguy62d agomissed
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsLOW BUY FUT Esports @ 40¢ $14.2k40% 0xf559…f46263d agocalled
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?LOW BUY No @ 94¢ $14.2k94% floatingraft71d agomissed
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsLOW BUY Spirit @ 76¢ $14.1k76% JUSTINHERBERTMVP62d agocalled
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsLOW BUY Iron Wing @ 41¢ $14.1k41% disputequant64d agomissed
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?LOW BUY No @ 88¢ $14.1k88% AJM96277d agocalled
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-23?LOW BUY Yes @ 72¢ $13.7k72% purplegatto PROVEN61d agocalled
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International PlayoffsMED BUY Team Yandex @ 33¢ $13.2k33% Alhimik NEW62d agomissed
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International PlayoffsLOW BUY TEAM VISION @ 64¢ $12.8k64% Bettong64d agocalled
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21?LOW BUY Yes @ 83¢ $12.7k83% purplegatto PROVEN64d agocalled
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 92¢ $12.4k92% Trump2028104d agocalled
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International PlayoffsLOW BUY TEAM VISION @ 77¢ $12.1k77% purplegatto PROVEN63d agocalled
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil MedvedevLOW BUY Daniil Medvedev @ 57¢ $12.0k57% LarryDaddy66d agomissed
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsLOW BUY TEAM VISION @ 78¢ $11.8k78% 0x9f15…bdb368d agocalled
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?LOW BUY No @ 55¢ $11.5k55% RJW162d agomissed
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?LOW SELL Yes @ 53¢ $11.5k47% browne107d agocalled
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?LOW BUY No @ 54¢ $11.3k54% PAROLIBOYS63d agomissed
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 81¢ $11.3k81% Parz1vaI114d agocalled
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International PlayoffsLOW BUY TEAM VISION @ 59¢ $11.2k59% JUSTINHERBERTMVP62d agomissed
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International PlayoffsLOW BUY TEAM VISION @ 56¢ $11.2k56% avia.62d agomissed
Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro TabiloLOW BUY Rafael Jodar @ 68¢ $11.1k68% VanGen67d agocalled
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?LOW BUY No @ 56¢ $11.0k56% hitfardedidi63d agomissed
Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-22?LOW BUY No @ 40¢ $11.0k40% 1xx362d agomissed
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 95¢ $10.8k5% MissaoComFlavio103d agomissed
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?LOW BUY Yes @ 85¢ $10.6k85% 0x06dc…452464d agocalled
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International PlayoffsLOW BUY Team Liquid @ 53¢ $10.6k53% tb10264d agocalled
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 83¢ $10.4k83% MonacoLover108d agocalled
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21?LOW BUY No @ 19¢ $10.3k19% sulumos63d agomissed
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsLOW BUY Iron Wing @ 40¢ $10.1k40% TheVeteran7764d agomissed
49ers vs. ChargersLOW BUY 49ers @ 52¢ $10.1k52% Feromont64d agocalled
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsLOW BUY Spirit @ 75¢ $10.0k75% swaggybarksimp63d agocalled

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Yesterday's biggest flags and how they graded. Misses included.