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What this means. A wallet put $20.0k on Chargers, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-10.9 pts over 29 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
49ers vs. Chargersmissed
$20.0k
BUY Chargers @ 51¢ · 39,354 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports

What happened

Wallet 0x3dfb…abaf took Chargers (buy) for $20.0k at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied a 51% chance for that side. The market resolved 49ers, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $20.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 51¢ means
51%chance the market gave
−103American odds
$1.00paid per share if Chargers wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
51¢
Implied odds
50.8%
As American odds
−103 no vig
Size
$20.0k
Placed
Aug 20, 18:02 EDT
Market close
Aug 20, 22:00 EDT
Result
49ers
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0x3dfb…abaf
Tx
0x80fc9df9…
This wallet's graded record
13/29-10.9 pts
expected 16.2 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -51 pts
Chargers price · entry 51¢ · resolved 49ers
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 51¢ · $20.0k WHALE $20.0K @ 51¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
49ers vs. ChargersLOW BUY 49ers @ 99.9¢ $99.0k
3.4× usual
100% Malfunction.64d agoexcluded
49ers vs. ChargersLOW BUY 49ers @ 99¢ $99.0k
3.3× usual
99% mikesports64d agoexcluded
49ers vs. ChargersLOW BUY 49ers @ 99¢ $11.3k99% omoi0i064d agoexcluded
49ers vs. ChargersLOW BUY 49ers @ 84¢ $23.9k84% wr0ngw4yb3tt0r64d agoexcluded
49ers vs. ChargersLOW BUY 49ers @ 85¢ $28.1k85% coinlaundry64d agoexcluded
49ers vs. ChargersLOW BUY Chargers @ 56¢ $25.2k56% traderjoes0164d agoexcluded