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49ers vs. Chargersmissed
What this means. A wallet put $20.0k on Chargers, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-10.9 pts over 29 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$20.0k
BUY Chargers @ 51¢ · 39,354 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet 0x3dfb…abaf took Chargers (buy) for $20.0k at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied a 51% chance for that side. The market resolved 49ers, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 51¢ means
51%chance the market gave
−103American odds
$1.00paid per share if Chargers wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 51¢
- Implied odds
- 50.8%
- As American odds
- −103 no vig
- Size
- $20.0k
- Placed
- Aug 20, 18:02 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 20, 22:00 EDT
- Result
- 49ers
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x3dfb…abaf
- Tx
- 0x80fc9df9…
This wallet's graded record
13/29-10.9 pts
expected 16.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -51 ptsChargers price · entry 51¢ · resolved 49ers
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY 49ers @ 99.9¢ | $99.0k 3.4× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY 49ers @ 99¢ | $99.0k 3.3× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY 49ers @ 99¢ | $11.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY 49ers @ 84¢ | $23.9k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY 49ers @ 85¢ | $28.1k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Chargers @ 56¢ | $25.2k | excluded |