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What this means. A wallet put $11.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 40% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.0k
BUY No @ 40¢ · 27,450 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet 1xx3 took No (buy) for $11.0k at an average 40¢. At that price the market implied a 40% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 40¢ means
40%chance the market gave
+150American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 40¢
- Implied odds
- 40.0%
- As American odds
- +150 no vig
- Size
- $11.0k
- Placed
- Aug 22, 13:26 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 22, 14:30 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 1xx3
- Tx
- 0x65cdeb5b…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-16.0 pts
expected 1.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -40 ptsNo price · entry 40¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-22? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $318.1k | excluded |
| Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $35.6k | excluded |
| Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-22? | MED BUY Yes @ 62¢ | $67.9k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-22? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 62¢ | $1.05M | excluded |
| Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-22? | MED BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $213.0k | excluded |