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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did -0.9 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-0.9 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.0
Flagged volume
$4.05M
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±35.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$8,089
Last 30 days +$0 · $6.12M volume · 34 trades · since Aug 22, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$664.4k
Open P&L · 4 positions
−$634.6k
Closed-position win rate
86%
7 closed
Wallet age · markets
63d
11 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | -0.9 pts |
History
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x2ba6c2…