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Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-23?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $462.1k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-23?excluded$462.1k
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ · 462,602 shares
Size ≥ $250kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x2ba6…644c took Yes (sell) for $462.1k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $462.1k+3
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $462.1k
- Placed
- Aug 23, 16:41 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 23, 14:45 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x2ba6…644c
- Tx
- 0x86cf6ac9…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-0.9 pts
expected 1.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-23? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $62.4k | excluded |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-23? | MED SELL Yes @ 96¢ | $32.4k | excluded |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-23? | LOW SELL Yes @ 96¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-23? | LOW BUY Yes @ 83¢ | $13.8k | excluded |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-23? | LOW BUY Yes @ 44¢ | $15.2k | excluded |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-23? | LOW BUY No @ 49¢ | $12.0k | excluded |