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What this means. A wallet put $1.05M on Yes, at a price that gave it a 62% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$1.05M
BUY Yes @ 62¢ · 1,698,971 shares in 10 fills
Size ≥ $250k10 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 3edmond.dantes took Yes (buy) for $1.05M at an average 62¢. At that price the market implied a 62% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $1.05M+3
10 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 62¢ means
62%chance the market gave
−162American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 62¢
- Implied odds
- 61.9%
- As American odds
- −162 no vig
- Size
- $1.05M
- Placed
- Aug 22, 14:13 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 22, 14:30 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 3edmond.dantes
- Tx
- 0xc044dd1b…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-1.3 pts
expected 1.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +38 ptsYes price · entry 62¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $318.1k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $35.6k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Yes @ 62¢ | $67.9k 2.1× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $213.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 40¢ | $11.0k | missed |