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+$197Yes · avg 31¢ → 32¢ · $5,817−$104Yes · avg 27¢ → 26¢ · $1,979
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.3 wins, so it did -16.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-16.0 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.3
Flagged volume
$296.9k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±28.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$508.5k
Last 30 days −$185.3k · $20.88M volume · 34,731 trades · since Dec 10, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$2.68M
Open P&L · 295 positions
−$1.72M
Closed-position win rate
74%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
318d
907 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 1 | 1.3 | -16.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? | LOW BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $30.1k | called |
 Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $23.0k | excluded |
 Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-22? | LOW BUY No @ 40¢ | $11.0k | missed |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | LOW BUY Yes @ 55¢ | $13.8k | excluded |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $42.9k | excluded |
 Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $48.7k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $21.9k | excluded |
| Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $26.7k | excluded |
| Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $40.0k | excluded |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14? | LOW BUY No @ 58¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-21? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98¢ | $16.4k | excluded |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17? | LOW BUY No @ 52¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
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