3edmond.dantes

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did -1.3 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Price-adjusted edge

-1.3 pts

Called / graded

1/2

Expected from price

1.0

Flagged volume

$7.70M

Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±35.3 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$206.5k

Last 30 days +$1.03M · $28.08M volume · 880 trades · since Aug 15, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$6.27M

Open P&L · 12 positions

−$6.31M

Closed-position win rate

100%

23 closed

Wallet age · markets

70d

35 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Sports	2	1	1.0	-1.3 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-10-23?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 66¢	$325.8k	66%	13h ago	excluded
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-22?	MED BUY Yes @ 54¢	$216.6k	54%	1d ago	called
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-22?	MED BUY No @ 57¢	$192.6k	57%	1d ago	excluded
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-09-08?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 38¢	$921.4k	38%	45d ago	excluded
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 51¢	$1.05M	51%	47d ago	excluded
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 50¢	$1.40M 2.4× usual	50%	47d ago	excluded
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 48¢	$439.2k	48%	47d ago	missed
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-30?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 43¢	$657.2k	43%	54d ago	excluded
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-30?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 41¢	$496.3k	41%	54d ago	excluded
Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-23?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 51¢	$762.0k	51%	61d ago	excluded
Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-22?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 62¢	$1.05M	62%	62d ago	excluded
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?	MED BUY Yes @ 48¢	$192.0k	48%	66d ago	excluded

Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-10-23?excluded

BUY Yes @ 66¢$325.8k

HIGH 3edmond.dantes · 13h ago

Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-22?called

BUY Yes @ 54¢$216.6k

MED 3edmond.dantes · 1d ago

Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-22?excluded

BUY No @ 57¢$192.6k

MED 3edmond.dantes · 1d ago

Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-09-08?excluded

BUY Yes @ 38¢$921.4k

HIGH 3edmond.dantes · 45d ago

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06?excluded

BUY Yes @ 51¢$1.05M

HIGH 3edmond.dantes · 47d ago

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06?excluded

BUY Yes @ 50¢$1.40M

HIGH 3edmond.dantes · 47d ago

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06?missed

BUY Yes @ 48¢$439.2k

HIGH 3edmond.dantes · 47d ago

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-30?excluded

BUY Yes @ 43¢$657.2k

HIGH 3edmond.dantes · 54d ago

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-30?excluded

BUY Yes @ 41¢$496.3k

HIGH 3edmond.dantes · 54d ago

Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-23?excluded

BUY Yes @ 51¢$762.0k

HIGH 3edmond.dantes · 61d ago

Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-22?excluded

BUY Yes @ 62¢$1.05M

HIGH 3edmond.dantes · 62d ago

Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?excluded

BUY Yes @ 48¢$192.0k

MED 3edmond.dantes · 66d ago

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