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What this means. A wallet put $27.9k on Iron Wing, at a price that gave it a 41% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$27.9k
BUY Iron Wing @ 41¢ · 68,081 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet casualbet2020 took Iron Wing (buy) for $27.9k at an average 41¢. At that price the market implied a 41% chance for that side. The market resolved BoomBoys, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $27.9k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 41¢ means
41%chance the market gave
+144American odds
$1.00paid per share if Iron Wing wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 41¢
- Implied odds
- 41.0%
- As American odds
- +144 no vig
- Size
- $27.9k
- Placed
- Aug 20, 16:15 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 20, 22:15 EDT
- Result
- BoomBoys
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- casualbet2020
- Tx
- 0x34c6606b…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-41.0 pts
expected 0.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -41 ptsIron Wing price · entry 41¢ · resolved BoomBoys
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs | LOW SELL BoomBoys @ 99.9¢ | $139.1k | excluded |
| Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs | MED SELL BoomBoys @ 99.9¢ | $350.9k 9.7× usual |
excluded |
| Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs | LOW SELL BoomBoys @ 99.9¢ | $22.7k | excluded |
| Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs | MED SELL BoomBoys @ 76¢ | $22.9k | excluded |
| Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs | LOW SELL BoomBoys @ 99.9¢ | $24.0k | excluded |
| Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs | LOW SELL BoomBoys @ 99.9¢ | $11.9k | excluded |