← Wallets
−$1,701No · avg 61¢ → 56¢ · $17.2k−$339RB Leipzig · avg 46¢ → 46¢ · $15.5k · 0 proven with, 1 against+$823FC Energie Cottbus · avg 61¢ → 74¢ · $4,684+$455No · avg 73¢ → 86¢ · $3,008−$106Over · avg 42¢ → 40¢ · $2,854 · 0 proven with, 1 against−$25Nets · avg 47¢ → 46¢ · $2,342−$65Over · avg 47¢ → 44¢ · $810+$32Under · avg 44¢ → 46¢ · $601
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 2.6 wins, so it did -14.5 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-14.5 pts
Called / graded
2/4
Expected from price
2.6
Flagged volume
$850.2k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±22.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$371.4k
Last 30 days +$93.3k · $19.56M volume · 24,339 trades · since Jul 22, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$2.99M
Open P&L · 500 positions
−$2.48M
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
824d
9709 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 4 | 2 | 2.6 | -14.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Commanders vs. 49ers | LOW BUY 49ers @ 79¢ | $15.0k | called |
| Chiefs vs. Dolphins | MED SELL Chiefs @ 91¢ | $27.3k | excluded |
| Chiefs vs. Dolphins | LOW BUY Chiefs @ 85¢ | $50.0k | called |
| Chiefs vs. Dolphins | MED BUY Chiefs @ 85¢ | $97.5k 2.7× usual |
called |
| Chiefs vs. Dolphins | MED SELL Chiefs @ 84¢ | $47.9k | missed |
 Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs | MED SELL BoomBoys @ 99.9¢ | $350.9k 9.7× usual |
excluded |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs | LOW BUY Team Spirit @ 34¢ | $23.8k | missed |
| Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs | MED BUY BoomBoys @ 58¢ | $169.4k 4.7× usual |
excluded |
| Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs | LOW BUY BoomBoys @ 59¢ | $36.1k | called |
| Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs | LOW BUY Team Falcons @ 67¢ | $20.6k | missed |
| Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs | LOW BUY TEAM VISION @ 78¢ | $11.8k | called |
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