NO-GOD-PLEASE-NO

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 2.0 wins, so it did +0.3 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Price-adjusted edge

+0.3 pts

Called / graded

2/3

Expected from price

2.0

Flagged volume

$469.8k

Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±27.2 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$485.8k

Last 30 days −$15.7k · $23.35M volume · 19,194 trades · since Apr 28, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$486.2k

Open P&L · 0 positions

+$0

Closed-position win rate

51%

305 closed

Wallet age · markets

179d

293 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Sports	3	2	2.0	+0.3 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	MED BUY TEAM VISION @ 56¢	$31.1k	56%	62d ago	excluded
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs	LOW BUY TEAM VISION @ 63¢	$18.7k	63%	64d ago	called
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance	MED BUY Spain @ 66¢	$75.3k 2.4× usual	66%	96d ago	excluded
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance	LOW BUY Belgium @ 70¢	$23.9k	70%	109d ago	excluded
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance	LOW BUY England @ 70¢	$25.6k	70%	110d ago	excluded
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance	MED BUY Argentina @ 84¢	$44.9k	84%	112d ago	excluded
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	LOW BUY No @ 52¢	$41.6k	52%	114d ago	excluded
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?	LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢	$99.9k 3.2× usual	0%	121d ago	excluded
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	MED BUY No @ 39¢	$32.4k	39%	126d ago	excluded
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$18.3k	100%	146d ago	excluded
Spurs vs. Thunder	LOW BUY Thunder @ 69¢	$11.4k	69%	156d ago	called
Spurs vs. Thunder	LOW BUY Thunder @ 67¢	$35.9k	67%	158d ago	missed
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?	LOW BUY No @ 33¢	$11.0k	33%	172d ago	excluded

Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsexcluded

BUY TEAM VISION @ 56¢$31.1k

MED NO-GOD-PLEASE-NO · 62d ago

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffscalled

BUY TEAM VISION @ 63¢$18.7k

LOW NO-GOD-PLEASE-NO · 64d ago

Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advanceexcluded

BUY Spain @ 66¢$75.3k

MED NO-GOD-PLEASE-NO · 96d ago

United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advanceexcluded

BUY Belgium @ 70¢$23.9k

LOW NO-GOD-PLEASE-NO · 109d ago

Mexico vs. England: Team to Advanceexcluded

BUY England @ 70¢$25.6k

LOW NO-GOD-PLEASE-NO · 110d ago

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advanceexcluded

BUY Argentina @ 84¢$44.9k

MED NO-GOD-PLEASE-NO · 112d ago

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?excluded

BUY No @ 52¢$41.6k

LOW NO-GOD-PLEASE-NO · 114d ago

Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?excluded

SELL No @ 99.9¢$99.9k

LOW NO-GOD-PLEASE-NO · 121d ago

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?excluded

BUY No @ 39¢$32.4k

MED NO-GOD-PLEASE-NO · 126d ago

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$18.3k

LOW NO-GOD-PLEASE-NO · 146d ago

Spurs vs. Thundercalled

BUY Thunder @ 69¢$11.4k

LOW NO-GOD-PLEASE-NO · 156d ago

Spurs vs. Thundermissed

BUY Thunder @ 67¢$35.9k

LOW NO-GOD-PLEASE-NO · 158d ago

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?excluded

BUY No @ 33¢$11.0k

LOW NO-GOD-PLEASE-NO · 172d ago

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