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+$25Yes · avg 19¢ → 20¢ · $496+$14Yes · avg 21¢ → 22¢ · $445+$15Yes · avg 12¢ → 14¢ · $116
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.4 wins, so it did -37.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-37.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.4
Flagged volume
$41.9k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±48.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$61.8k
Last 30 days +$43 · $806.0k volume · 757 trades · since Jan 11, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$26.1k
Open P&L · 16 positions
−$82.6k
Closed-position win rate
71%
59 closed
Wallet age · markets
286d
70 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.4 | -37.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY Team Liquid @ 37¢ | $18.5k | missed | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $23.4k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x87ddd7…